In the kickstart video, I take a technical look at the three major currency pairs – the EURUSD , USDJPY and GBPUSD.
EURUSD:
Key Levels:
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100-hour moving average: 1.0807 (support)
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200-hour moving average: 1.0836 (resistance). Get and stay above is needed to increase the bullish bias
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A break higher would target the 200-day moving average: 1.0870 (next target). The 61.8% of the range since the June low is at 1.08746 increasing that areas importance going forward.
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Move below the 1.0810 and the the 100 hour MA at 1.0807 and the swing low (August 1)at 1.07767 would be targeted. (support)
Current Situation:
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EURUSD broke above 100-hour moving average, indicating short-term bullish bias.
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Price testing 200-hour moving average, encountering resistance.
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Buyers and sellers are battling between hourly moving averages.
Next Moves:
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Break above 200-hour moving average needed to strengthen bullish bias.
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Break below 100-hour moving average and swing low could lead to further decline.
USDJPY
Key Levels:
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Swing area: 151.856-151.937 (resistance)
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200-day moving average: 151.407 (support)
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61.8% retracement (July high): 153.397 (resistance)
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Move below the 200 day MA and the 50% retracement (broken) is the next target at 150.757 (support)
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Move below the 50% and the 100-day moving average: 150.612 (support)
Current Situation:
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USDJPY testing trades above and below swing area near 151.90
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Price bouncing within swing area, indicating indecision.
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Trading range is modest, suggesting potential for breakout.
Next Moves:
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Break above swing area and 61.8% retracement would fuel upside momentum.
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Move below 200-day moving average could strengthen bearish bias, targeting 50% retracement and 100-day moving average.
Additional Insights:
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Quiet trading on Fridays may lead to range-bound activity.
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Momentum away from swing area could trigger next directional move.
GBPUSD
Key Levels:
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100-day moving average: 1.29678 (support)
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Psychological resistance: 1.3000 (resistance)
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Falling 100-bar moving average (4-hour chart)becomes a target on the break of 1.3000. That level comes in at 1.3043 (resistance)
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50% midpoint of range (August low) is also in play above at 1.30488 (resistance)
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A move below the 100 ay MA at 1.29678 would target a support swing level at 1.2938 (support)
Current Situation:
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GBPUSD broke below 1.2938 support, then reclaimed it.
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Price trading above and below 100-day moving average but not above and moving toward 1.3000.
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Resistance at 1.3000, a key psychological level.
Next Moves:
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Break above 1.3000 and falling 100-bar MA could target 1.30488.
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Fall below 100-day moving average and 1.2938 support could lead to further decline.
Additional Insights:
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Price action suggests indecision, seeking direction.
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Clearing 1.3000 resistance could shift bias to bullish.
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Failure to hold above 1.2938 support may increase bearish pressure.
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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