ING expect first Fed rate cut in Sep after this week's data

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  • Jump in claims is highest since August last year, indicating a cooling labor market and presenting an upside risk to the Fed’s forecast of maintaining unemployment at 4%.

  • Soft PPI figures increase likelihood of a second consecutive 0.2% or lower MM rise for PCE.

  • Combination of rising claims and soft PPI reinforces argument for cuts to start in September

This article was written by Arno V Venter at www.forexlive.com.



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